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29 Jun 2026

How fragile is Sweden's food supply?

A closure of the Öresund Bridge or a crop failure in a key import country is enough to affect what reaches Swedish grocery stores. Demand for solutions is growing across the country. Now PLATE researchers are mapping how to get the most food preparedness for the money. The study is to be completed in autumn 2027.

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Sweden depends on imports for a large part of its food supply. That makes us vulnerable to disruptions beyond our control, such as extreme weather that devastates harvests, geopolitical tensions that close trade routes, or disruptions to critical transport infrastructure like the Öresund Bridge and Swedish motorways.

Economists Shon Ferguson and Sandra Kurniawati at SLU are analysing how different types of shocks affect food supply and food prices, and which disruptions hit Swedish consumers the hardest. The project will also examine which policy measures deliver the most impact per krona spent.

Porträtt

Foto: Karl Gabor

How do we get the most preparedness for the money? With an economic model, we can test which solutions are the most cost-effective to invest in.

Shon Ferguson, workpackage 4 leader in PLATE and researcher at the Department of Economics, SLU

Porträtt

Foto: Katrin Glueckler

The model helps us understand how different disruptions can reinforce each other and affect food supply and prices.

Sandra Kurniawati, postdoctoral researcher in environmental economics at the Department of Economics, SLU.

Resultaten ska peka ut var i systemet sårbarheten är störst och ge ett konkret beslutsunderlag för myndigheter och politiker som planerar en mer motståndskraftig livsmedelsförsörjning. Studien beräknas vara klar hösten 2027.

 

Contacts

Foto Karl Gabor

Shon Ferguson, leader of work package 4 The System and Its Competitiveness, associate professor and senior lecturer in environmental economics at the Department of Economics, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU).
E-post: shon.ferguson@slu.se

Foto: Katrin Glueckler

Sandra Kurniawati, postdoctoral researcher in environmental economics, Department of Economics, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences (SLU).
E-post: sandra.kurniawati@slu.se

 

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